CI
CBIZ, Inc. (CBZ)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered mixed results: Adjusted EPS of $1.01 rose 8.5% YoY and beat S&P Global consensus, while revenue of $693.8M grew 58.1% YoY but came in modestly below consensus; management maintained full-year revenue, adjusted EPS, and adjusted EBITDA guidance .
- EPS beat drivers included lower incentive compensation, stronger scale benefits, and tax planning; interest expense rose sharply YoY on higher debt from the Marcum acquisition .
- Revenue softness versus consensus was concentrated in Benefits & Insurance amid a soft P&C market; advisory demand improved versus the first half and core accounting/tax remained resilient .
- Catalysts into Q4/FY: synergy target raised to $50M+, operational excellence initiative to improve utilization, and improved market conditions supporting discretionary advisory; integration costs for 2025 increased to $89M to accelerate streamlining .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted EPS of $1.01 (+8.5% YoY) beat Wall Street consensus; adjusted EBITDA rose 57.4% YoY to $120.0M as scale benefits and lower incentive comp supported margins .
- Financial Services segment revenue rose ~80% YoY to $579M; pricing exhibited mid-single-digit rate increases exceeding inflation, with improved advisory demand versus H1 .
- Management highlighted stronger-than-expected synergy capture and strategic progress: “We have updated our synergy goal from the acquisition to a total of $50 million or more…expect to realize $35 million in synergies this year” .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS of $0.48 declined 31.4% YoY, reflecting materially higher interest expense ($28M vs. $5M YoY) on acquisition financing and integration-related adjustments .
- Benefits & Insurance segment was soft, tied to a weak P&C market and discretionary project softness, partially offsetting strength in core accounting/tax .
- 2025 integration costs were lifted by $14M to $89M, largely severance-related; real estate consolidation work (a key synergy lever) remains ahead, delaying some cost take-out to 2026 .
Financial Results
Consolidated trends: Q1 → Q2 → Q3 2025
Year-over-year: Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024
Segment breakdown (Q3)
KPIs and Balance Metrics (quarter-end)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are seeing strong validation of the Marcum acquisition, including better than expected synergies…well positioned to drive sustainable long-term growth” .
- “Adjusted EBITDA margin increased approximately 325 bps YoY…lower incentive compensation expense representing ~250 bps of the improvement” .
- “We have updated our synergy goal…to $50 million or more. We expect to realize $35 million in synergies this year…majority of the balance in 2026” .
- “Pricing…mid-single digits…above what we’re hearing some competitors…reflects strong client relationships” .
- “Benefits & Insurance revenues were a little soft…tied to soft P&C market and discretionary project softness” .
Q&A Highlights
- Pricing durability: Management expects mid-single-digit rate realization to persist into 2026 and beyond, exceeding inflation and reflecting service value .
- Client/partner retention: No notable loss of rainmaking partners; client retention tracking ahead of modeled conflicts from the acquisition .
- Integration cost mix: 2025 integration costs ($89M) skewed to severance; 2026 expected to shift more to facilities/real estate actions .
- Macro influences: Rate cuts viewed as supportive to discretionary projects; limited shutdown impact except timing delays in government healthcare consulting .
- Pro forma Q4 trajectory: Management suggested ~6–8% YoY pro forma revenue growth adjusting for conflicts and SEC/capital markets bleed-off .
Estimates Context
Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global. EBITDA consensus mean was 115.02* vs S&P’s EBITDA actual 102.996*, which may not be directly comparable to company-reported adjusted EBITDA of $120.0M ; definition differences should be considered.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS beat with revenue slightly below consensus; strength in core accounting/tax and improved advisory offset a soft P&C insurance backdrop. Focus near term on discretionary advisory momentum into Q4 .
- Margins benefited from lower incentive comp and scale; watch normalization of incentive comp in 2026 and incremental synergies/real estate actions for margin trajectory .
- Interest expense remains elevated due to acquisition financing; deleveraging to 2–2.5x now expected by 2027 given opportunistic buybacks .
- Synergy target raised to $50M+ (with $35M realized in 2025), a medium-term margin and cash flow lever; execution on real estate consolidation is the next catalyst .
- Benefits & Insurance softness tied to P&C market conditions; stabilization or improvement would be upside to revenue mix .
- Technology/AI initiatives (Vertical Vector AI, offshoring scale-up) support efficiency and differentiation; monitor adoption and client wins as a secular tailwind .
- Near-term trading lens: EPS beat vs revenue miss and maintained FY guidance likely anchor sentiment; estimate revisions should bias toward EPS/margin resilience while revenue expectations may ease given B&I headwinds.*
Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.